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As reported by RCP, how many delegates will Rick Santorum win in the 5 GOP Primaries (Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island,and Delaware) being held on, 24 April 2012?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

15 delegates or less.

(closed)

Predicted: 93.97%

Actual: 100.00%

16 - 25 delegates.

(closed)

Predicted: 4.67%

Actual: 0.00%

26 - 35 delegates.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.63%

Actual: 0.00%

36 delegates or more.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.72%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 22, 2012 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

58

Most by: SneakyPete (9 predictions)

Discussion

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SneakyPete   •   Fri Apr 27 2012 at 05:30am PDT

I am cashing this out as it appears that Santorum will receive 15 delegates or less. RCP and the New York Times still have not shown what the final delegate count is. I will correct if the results if changed. See: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/pennsylvania and http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

SneakyPete   •   Wed Apr 25 2012 at 08:00am PDT

Mitt Romney won all 126 delagates from CT, NY, RI and DE. The final delagate count, as reported by RCP from PA, have not been announced yet. I will cash out once this is done. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

job   •   Thu Apr 26 2012 at 07:43am PDT

I think it is safe to pay out!

SneakyPete   •   Thu Apr 26 2012 at 09:11am PDT

The RCP still has not posteed their delegate count. I am waiting to get it before I cash out.

SneakyPete   •   Tue Apr 24 2012 at 03:44pm PDT

All voting stations in the 5 states will be closing at 8:00pm EDST except New York which will be 9:00 EDST. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/calendar

wstritt   •   Fri Apr 06 2012 at 11:00am PDT

Answer probably really depends on whether he decides to drop out of race over weekend. Assuming he is still trying to make it a race, he will almost certainly pick up a decent number in PA and probably a few other random ones elsewhere.

SneakyPete   •   Fri Apr 06 2012 at 11:49am PDT

I doubt that he will be planning to drop out soon. It is going to be interesting to see how the voting in Pennsylvania turns out for him or will we see Romney pull out a “Santorum Home State” win? Connecticut, with its "Hybrid System, is also going to be interesting to see if Romney gets 50%+ of the vote, to get all of its 28 delegates.

wstritt   •   Tue Apr 10 2012 at 01:33pm PDT

I guess it will be interesting to see if he still picks up a few votes/delegates as the primaries play out.

SneakyPete   •   Tue Apr 10 2012 at 02:42pm PDT

I am sure that he will. I suspected, that he was going to either drop out or suspend his campaign, after his daughter went in the hospital. I just hope that everything turns out OK for her.

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