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Who will be the Republican Party's nominee for President of the United States in 2016?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Fmr. Gov. Jeb Bush (FL)

(closed)

2.92%

Fmr. Gov. Mike Huckabee (AR)

(closed)

0.06%

Fmr. Gov. Sarah Palin (AK)

(closed)

0.00%

Fmr. Sec. of State Condoleezza Rice

(closed)

0.00%

Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum (PA)

(closed)

0.01%

Fmr. Vice-President Dick Cheney

(closed)

0.00%

Gov. Bob McDonnell (VA)

(closed)

0.03%

Gov. Bobby Jindal (LA)

(closed)

0.00%

Gov. Chris Christie (NJ)

(closed)

1.16%

Gov. Mitch Daniels (IN)

(closed)

0.02%

Gov. Nikki Haley (SC)

(closed)

0.03%

Gov. Rick Scott (FL)

(closed)

0.02%

Gov. Scott Walker (WI)

(closed)

0.00%

Mitt Romney (President or not)

(closed)

0.00%

Rep. Eric Cantor (VA)

(closed)

0.00%

Rep. Paul Ryan (WI)

(closed)

0.00%

Sen. John Thune (ND)

(closed)

0.00%

Sen. Marco Rubio (FL)

(closed)

29.28%

Sen. Rand Paul (KY)

(closed)

0.46%

Someone else

(closed)

65.95%

  • expired

Question ends

December 31, 2015 @ 02:09pm PST

Predictions Made

1178

Most by: ChloeBurns (282 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Up Date

abcyunk   •   Fri Aug 01 2014 at 05:41am PDT

Where is Ted Cruz?

Tom501   •   Thu Aug 20 2015 at 11:35am PDT

When the question originated in September of 2012 he wasn’t considered as a top tier option. Now that the top tier is so broad if you think he has a shot you could always pick the “Someone Else” option.

mvguy   •   Wed Nov 04 2015 at 09:01am PST

It’s a bit surprising how many of today’s contenders were barely on anybody’s radar not all that long ago. Who would have thought, for example, that a surgeon who had never run for political office would be in the front of the pack?

SneakyPete   •   Thu Nov 05 2015 at 04:02pm PST

It appears that voters, on both sides of the fence, are looking for a change this election cycle. Reps with non political candidates and Dems with a candidate wih trust and honesty issues candidate (H. Clinton). ? WHAT choices folks must make come 8 Nov 16?

BeteNoire   •   Tue Nov 03 2015 at 04:44pm PST

Chloe< do you think Rubio has a 64% chance?

SneakyPete   •   Tue Nov 03 2015 at 08:14pm PST

I think not.

SneakyPete   •   Sat Dec 19 2015 at 02:44pm PST

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and Happy Hanukkah. I have enjoyed participation in the Inkling program and hope to see other players in other prediction sites in the future. SneakyPete

BeteNoire   •   Sat Dec 19 2015 at 04:11pm PST

Merry Christmas Sneaky.

Rationales

"Seriously? Who?"

JimB61 sold Someone else at 60.38%
November 07, 2015 @ 06:32am PST

"The only real option for presence and stature, assuming he fends off attacks. Thankfully, he won't win in November."

JimB61 bought Sen. Marco Rubio (FL) at 11.72%
November 07, 2015 @ 06:31am PST

"Underpriced"

catrachohansen bought Gov. Scott Walker (WI) at 19.35%
July 20, 2015 @ 01:37pm PDT

"THats assuning Mitt Romney does not win the 2012 election."

SneakyPete bought Someone else at 8.89%
September 15, 2012 @ 06:08pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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