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What will be the spread between Obama and Romney in percent of votes cast?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED VALUE

TODAY

Colorado

(closed)

Predicted: 4.95

Actual: 4.95

Florida

(closed)

Predicted: 4.85

Actual: 4.85

Iowa

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00

Actual: 0.00

National

(closed)

Predicted: 4.95

Actual: 4.95

North Carolina

(closed)

Predicted: 5.00

Actual: 5.00

Ohio

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00

Actual: 0.00

Virginia

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00

Actual: 0.00

Wisconsin

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00

Actual: 0.00

  • refunded

Question ends

November 06, 2012 @ 12:00am PST

Predictions Made

4

Most by: leto2 (2 predictions)

Discussion

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jahm   •   Mon Sep 24 2012 at 07:43pm PDT

This sort of market does not support negative payouts. It is certainly possible that a spread could be negative, i.e. Romney leads. Therefore this Inkling format is unsuitable to the question posed. I have therefore refunded the market. My apologies.

amsiegel (ADMIN)   •   Tue Sep 25 2012 at 12:54pm PDT

I actually had interpreted it as the spread regardless of who was winning. You could always run this as a multiple choice market, or run this same one but clarify it’s the spread regardless of who wins.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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