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What percentage of the popular vote will Barack Obama win in the 2012 U.S. presidential election?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

44.9999 percent or less

(closed)

Predicted: 0.44%

Actual: 0.00%

45 to 45.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 0.86%

Actual: 0.00%

46 to 46.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 0.86%

Actual: 0.00%

47 to 47.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 2.88%

Actual: 0.00%

48 to 48.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 7.27%

Actual: 0.00%

49 to 49.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 27.67%

Actual: 0.00%

50 to 50.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 32.20%

Actual: 100.00%

51 to 51.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 14.12%

Actual: 0.00%

52 to 52.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 10.55%

Actual: 0.00%

53 to 53.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 1.41%

Actual: 0.00%

54 to 54.9999 percent

(closed)

Predicted: 0.94%

Actual: 0.00%

55 percent or more

(closed)

Predicted: 0.75%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 06, 2012 @ 08:00pm PST

Predictions Made

111

Most by: SneakyPete (13 predictions)

Discussion

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mvguy   •   Wed Nov 07 2012 at 08:14am PST

It’s looking now like Obama got just over 50 percent. I expect to cash this out in a day or two once the numbers are close to complete.

SneakyPete   •   Fri Nov 09 2012 at 09:41am PST

With votes still being counted, we may see higoing above the 51%, mark.

historical trend

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