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Will the United States intervene militarily in Syria before June 30 2013?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Only with air strikes

(closed)

Predicted: 0.30%

Actual: 0.00%

US ground forces will be sent to Syria

(closed)

Predicted: 0.08%

Actual: 0.00%

The US will NOT intervene militarily

(closed)

Predicted: 99.62%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

June 29, 2013 @ 11:45pm PDT

Predictions Made

111

Most by: job (29 predictions)

Discussion

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job   •   Mon Jul 01 2013 at 10:11am PDT

Lucas, time to pay out!

job   •   Sun Jun 23 2013 at 05:08am PDT

Before June 30 means at least June 29. So this question can be closed on june 29.

LucasN   •   Sat Jun 15 2013 at 02:16pm PDT

ATTENTION:If the US enters Syrian airspace to enforce a no fly zone, I will conciser it to be an air strike for purposes of this market. Please let me know if there are any other clarification i can make regarding this market.

ecotax   •   Sun May 05 2013 at 06:26am PDT

For now, Israel is doing the dirty work. I guess this means the US can postpone a decision a bit longer.

foobar   •   Tue Apr 23 2013 at 09:18pm PDT

We will never know the real number of military advisers…

LucasN   •   Wed Apr 24 2013 at 06:38pm PDT

I totally agree, but that is why I stipulated that all numbers must be officially reported by the Associated Press in order to count for this market.

Rationales

"We would need an actual real life president for the US to do so."

Hugh Betcha bought The US will NOT intervene militarily at 82.13%
May 01, 2013 @ 11:16am PDT

"Airstrikes more likely by August"

Gbronzo bought The US will NOT intervene militarily at 67.36%
April 24, 2013 @ 07:16am PDT

historical trend

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More information about the possible answers

Only with air strikes

US ground forces will be sent to Syria

The US will NOT intervene militarily