Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Nathan's Hotdog Eating Contest 2013: Winner eats how many?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0-50

(closed)

Predicted: 2.76%

Actual: 0.00%

51-55

(closed)

Predicted: 3.37%

Actual: 0.00%

56-59

(closed)

Predicted: 8.82%

Actual: 0.00%

60-64

(closed)

Predicted: 7.92%

Actual: 0.00%

65-69

(closed)

Predicted: 36.93%

Actual: 100.00%

70-74

(closed)

Predicted: 36.05%

Actual: 0.00%

75+

(closed)

Predicted: 4.12%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

July 04, 2013 @ 09:00am PDT

Predictions Made

49

Most by: SneakyPete (25 predictions)

Discussion

bobdevine   •   Fri Jun 28 2013 at 10:32am PDT

NOTE: If the contest is canceled, the answer will be 0.

Rationales

"Will he make it to 69+?"

SneakyPete bought 65-69 at 23.67%
June 29, 2013 @ 09:01am PDT

"Don't think they can pull off another 68'er this year."

amsiegel bought 60-64 at 14.28%
June 28, 2013 @ 05:26am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader