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Before 1 May 2014, will Chinese armed forces or maritime law enforcement forces attempt to interdict or make physical contact with at least one U.S. government naval vessel or airplane or Japanese government naval vessel or airplane that it claims is in its territorial waters or airspace?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 60.93%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 30, 2014 @ 09:00pm PDT

Predictions Made

26

Most by: towstore (4 predictions)

Discussion

Rationales

"At this point the Chinese are more apt to either talk tough or act tough but not both. Both at the same time would heighten the tensions beyond that certain measure of predictability and control that the Chinese seem to prefer. "

duJ8a$hf sold at 55.09%
October 09, 2013 @ 09:47pm PDT

historical trend

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