Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Will the US and/or coalition forces (including the US) invade Syria (any attack via air or sea or soldiers) before September 8th 2013?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 0.40%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 08, 2013 @ 07:38am PDT

Predictions Made

135

Most by: job (22 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

logain2006   •   Tue Aug 27 2013 at 09:09am PDT

Any kind of attack – air, sea or soldiers. And by coalition I mean US + other countries.

Ishmael17   •   Tue Aug 27 2013 at 08:44am PDT

When you say “coalition,” how do you define that? Must the USA be in on it? Must there simply be 2 or more nations sending in troops for the same side? And does it count as an invasion if this coalition (say, maybe Russia and somebody else) enters to support Assad? Not that any of that is likely, but I’d like to know the rules of cash-out all the same, since things do happen…

job   •   Tue Aug 27 2013 at 08:37am PDT

To be sure, you mean invation with soldiers, not a siimple air attack>

Tom501   •   Wed Aug 28 2013 at 06:13pm PDT

I would say that he is clear that any attack is considered an invasion and not necessarily a ground invasion. I would say this is a buyer beware market.

Rationales

"Because I can see into the future"

Pd4f$uce sold at 12.70%
September 04, 2013 @ 07:43am PDT

"The discussions will continue, the threats will continue, but there will probably not be any anctions, "

loaldo sold at 62.34%
August 31, 2013 @ 09:12am PDT

"belief"

logain2006 bought at 46.01%
August 28, 2013 @ 06:40pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader