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How many members of the U.S. House will vote in favor of U.S. military involvement in Syria?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0 to 150

(closed)

Predicted: 0.06%

Actual: 0.00%

151 to 160

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

161 to 170

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

171 to 180

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

181 to 190

(closed)

Predicted: 0.05%

Actual: 0.00%

191 to 200

(closed)

Predicted: 0.05%

Actual: 0.00%

201 to 210

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

211 to 220

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

221 to 230

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

231 to 240

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

241 to 250

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

251 to 260

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

261 to 270

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

271 or more

(closed)

Predicted: 0.03%

Actual: 0.00%

No decision by the end of September 2013

(closed)

Predicted: 99.35%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 30, 2013 @ 09:00pm PDT

Predictions Made

90

Most by: SneakyPete (24 predictions)

Discussion

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towstore   •   Mon Sep 09 2013 at 03:42pm PDT

Does the “first vote” mean in committee or on the floor?

mvguy   •   Mon Sep 09 2013 at 06:09pm PDT

First vote of the full House, and not just a “test vote,” but the vote on the resolution approving use of force.

mvguy   •   Mon Sep 09 2013 at 07:04am PDT

Clarification: “No decision by the end of September 2013” is the same as the issue never being voted on by the full House. Thus if it is defeated in the Senate and the matter is dropped, that would count as “No decision by the end of September 2013.”

Rationales

"Curious to see how many of 200 House Dems will vote "YES" on the Presidents Syria resolution."

SneakyPete sold 221 to 230 at 7.11%
September 06, 2013 @ 11:12am PDT

historical trend

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