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Champions League: Will Barcelone win against Ajax (11/26/13 at 7:45 local time)?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Draw

(closed)

Predicted: 75.17%

Actual: 0.00%

No

(closed)

Predicted: 5.03%

Actual: 100.00%

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 8.23%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 27, 2013 @ 12:30pm PST

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

25

Most by: Joshlomo (8 predictions)

Discussion

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job   •   Tue Nov 26 2013 at 03:04pm PST

When it was closed draw was at about 50%. Now that it is paid No = 89%. Something didnot went fair! Joshloma undo cash out and use the uh oh button!

wstritt   •   Tue Nov 26 2013 at 03:39pm PST

People often trade after answer is known on off chance cash out is not back-dated with uh-oh (I’ve certainly have done it in other people’s markets). In some cases, for various reasons, that is the intent of the market creator (e.g. I seldom back dated number of named storms as impact would be minor anyway).

However, it is sort of un-cool if the market creator takes the last of the Inkles off the table after the answer is known which appears to be the case here based on the chronology implied by the history in the Activity section of the home page (market creator was last to trade before Job’s post cash out comment). I profusely apologize if the chronology is innacurate or misleading but Job is probably right about “uh-oh” in this case.

Having said that, if the market creator did trade after the answer was known for personal gain, it probably would not be the first time it has happened. I’ve noticed similar things in the past but have just let them go. But with Job’s comment, in this case I thought I’d chime in.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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