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When will the 1000th person go to space?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

2014

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

2015

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

2016

(closed)

Predicted: 1.23%

Actual: 1.23%

2017

(closed)

Predicted: 0.08%

Actual: 0.08%

2018

(closed)

Predicted: 9.66%

Actual: 9.66%

2019

(closed)

Predicted: 14.41%

Actual: 14.41%

2020 or later

(closed)

Predicted: 74.60%

Actual: 74.60%

  • completed

Question ends

November 30, 2022 @ 10:00pm PST

topic

Science

Predictions Made

37

Most by: bobdevine (9 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Mon Oct 26 2015 at 11:14am PDT

This question is being refunded because of its long time frame.

bobdevine   •   Sun Jan 04 2015 at 02:19am PST

bobdevine   •   Thu May 29 2014 at 07:59pm PDT

Over 600 customers have signed up with Virgin Space.
http://phys.org/news/2014-05-virgin-space-flights-take-off.html

historical trend

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