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How will inequality in New York City change during Mayor DeBlasio's term in office as measured by the 1-year GINI Coefficient per the US Census American Community Survey (ACS)

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Increase by 0.02 or more

(closed)

52.89%

Stay the same within +/- 0.1

(closed)

11.94%

Decrease by 0.02 or more

(closed)

35.16%

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January 04, 2018 @ 06:57pm PST

Predictions Made

13

Most by: malcmur (3 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:14am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com

GradualStudent   •   Fri Jan 03 2014 at 08:13pm PST

Great catch. My mistake. The tolerance for “about the same” should be +/- 0.2.

Goose   •   Fri Jan 03 2014 at 08:30am PST

A fascinating question. Did you intend the increase and decrease options to be 0.02 or 0.2?

Would also be interested in seeing how New York City performs against its benchmark. If the U.S. as a whole continues its current trend of increased economic inequality, is a single city with a single mayor able to counter that trend?

historical trend

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