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Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

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Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

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Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

2014 Academy Awards: Best Picture

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

12 Years a Slave

(closed)

Predicted: 76.05%

Actual: 100.00%

American Hustle

(closed)

Predicted: 6.62%

Actual: 0.00%

Captain Phillips

(closed)

Predicted: 1.47%

Actual: 0.00%

Dallas Buyers Club

(closed)

Predicted: 0.45%

Actual: 0.00%

Gravity

(closed)

Predicted: 10.92%

Actual: 0.00%

Her

(closed)

Predicted: 1.21%

Actual: 0.00%

Nebraska

(closed)

Predicted: 1.47%

Actual: 0.00%

Philomena

(closed)

Predicted: 0.56%

Actual: 0.00%

The Wolf of Wall Street

(closed)

Predicted: 1.21%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

March 02, 2014 @ 03:00am PST

Predictions Made

124

Most by: lecufr (15 predictions)

Discussion

Rationales

"It's a solid movie with a clear message."

ashku81 bought 12 Years a Slave at 68.34%
February 25, 2014 @ 02:58pm PST

"i expect it to go to 60% in the next week"

Terner bought 12 Years a Slave at 50.05%
February 04, 2014 @ 10:55pm PST

"PredictWise shows 12YAS at 72% favorite"

ulfelder bought 12 Years a Slave at 47.91%
February 01, 2014 @ 03:17am PST

"great film"

coolkraft bought American Hustle at 16.92%
January 20, 2014 @ 06:49am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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