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Will Chinese-Vietnamese tension result in a lethal confrontation prior to July 1st, 2014?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 0.94%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

June 30, 2014 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

30

Most by: SneakyPete (3 predictions)

Discussion

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EdG1975   •   Mon Jul 07 2014 at 04:43am PDT

questionmaker is disappeared.

globaljason   •   Mon Jul 07 2014 at 04:42am PDT

What’s taking so long to judge this?

KRH   •   Mon May 26 2014 at 10:24pm PDT

RageBeard   •   Fri May 16 2014 at 04:43am PDT

Resolution is a lethal military confrontation in which one or more Chinese or Vietnamese service members or civilians are killed by a service member of the opposite country. Examples of this include a lethal clash between the Chinese Coast Guard and Vietnamese Navy or if the Vietnamese fired on Chinese fishermen in disputed waters with lethal effects, etc.

jlow1967   •   Fri May 16 2014 at 02:47am PDT

The “reasoning” below: “http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5xS2U4rt-IE”

SneakyPete   •   Thu May 15 2014 at 04:53pm PDT

What will determine, that a Chinese-Vietnamese lethal confrontation, has taken place?

Rationales

"Chinese economic power is much more powerful in terms of getting Vietnam to change policy. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5xS2U4rt-IE"

jlow1967 sold at 14.19%
May 16, 2014 @ 02:44am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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