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Men's tennis: Who will win the US Open 2014?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Novak Djokovic (1)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.44%

Actual: 0.00%

Roger Federer (2)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.36%

Actual: 0.00%

Stanislas Wawrinka (3)

(closed)

Predicted: 5.79%

Actual: 0.00%

David Ferrer (4)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.21%

Actual: 0.00%

Milos Raonic (5)

(closed)

Predicted: 4.59%

Actual: 0.00%

Tomáš Berdych (6)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.22%

Actual: 0.00%

Grigor Dimitrov (7)

(closed)

Predicted: 1.51%

Actual: 0.00%

Andy Murray (8)

(closed)

Predicted: 4.34%

Actual: 0.00%

Any player seeded 9-16

(closed)

Predicted: 99.64%

Actual: 100.00%

Any player seeded 17-32

(closed)

Predicted: 0.97%

Actual: 0.00%

Any other player who is not seeded

(closed)

Predicted: 1.34%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 07, 2014 @ 02:00am PDT

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

62

Most by: job (14 predictions)

Discussion

RDW   •   Sat Sep 06 2014 at 03:43pm PDT

Nishikori(10)-Cilic(14) is the final, so the answer is already known. What a surprise.

Rationales

"Dice prediction"

OscarLante bought Novak Djokovic (1) at 77.89%
September 04, 2014 @ 04:41pm PDT

"Federer has been in good form and Djokovic as struggled this summer. I'd say Federer should have a 40% chance of winning."

Bugler bought Roger Federer (2) at 16.72%
September 03, 2014 @ 03:41pm PDT

"10% chance of winning is overestimated"

ounsal sold Tomáš Berdych (6) at 10.15%
September 01, 2014 @ 06:45pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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