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How many more or less US residents will chose to expatriate in 2014 versus 2013?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED VALUE

TODAY

# less than 2013's total of 2,999

(closed)

Predicted: 1.20

Actual: 0.00

# more than 2013's total of 2,999

(closed)

Predicted: 145.00

Actual: 416.00

  • completed

Question ends

February 01, 2015 @ 06:00am PST

Predictions Made

19

Most by: job (5 predictions)

Discussion

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bobdevine   •   Tue Feb 10 2015 at 01:08pm PST

wstritt   •   Fri Jan 16 2015 at 07:21pm PST

Re-opened until Feb 1. Based on prior years, 4th quarter data appears to come out first week of February. Wil close out with “uh-oh” if released earlier.

https://www.federalregister.gov/quarterly-publication-of-individuals-who-have-chosen-to-expatriate

bobdevine   •   Wed Oct 29 2014 at 02:56pm PDT

Surprisingly (well, surprising to me) the law requires that every expatriate is publicly named. For example, the latest published list includes all names from A to Z (Osama Abdalla to Andrew Zingg).

https://www.federalregister.gov/articles/2014/10/27/2014-25412/quarterly-publication-of-individuals-who-have-chosen-to-expatriate-as-required-by-section-6039g

bobdevine   •   Wed Oct 29 2014 at 02:15pm PDT

Rationales

"Going against the Inkling wisdon."

SneakyPete bought # less than 2013's total of 2,999 at 0.20
January 10, 2015 @ 08:46am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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