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What will the margin of victory of the first place be over the second place candidate in the Louisiana US Senate race run-off being held Saturday 6 December 2014?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0.0 - 1.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 0.19%

Actual: 0.00%

1.6 - 2.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 0.37%

Actual: 0.00%

2.6 - 5.0%

(closed)

Predicted: 2.38%

Actual: 0.00%

5.1 - 6.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 1.13%

Actual: 0.00%

6.6% or greater.

(closed)

Predicted: 95.93%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

December 03, 2014 @ 09:59pm PST

Predictions Made

59

Most by: SneakyPete (9 predictions)

Discussion

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lenlesmac   •   Fri Dec 05 2014 at 05:59am PST

Can someone please close this one out?

wstritt   •   Fri Dec 05 2014 at 06:52pm PST

Len – I think they are waiting for voting to actually happen tomorrow. What you are seeing at realclearpolitics.com are only the opinion polls. Probably pretty indicative though.

lenlesmac   •   Sat Dec 06 2014 at 05:59am PST

No problem. I was going by the posted end date.

lenlesmac   •   Thu Dec 04 2014 at 04:36am PST

angelo190   •   Tue Nov 11 2014 at 04:54am PST

Rationales

"it seems a logical now"

rafi bought 6.6% or greater. at 87.36%
December 01, 2014 @ 02:43am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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