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Which artist will be the first to have a painting sell for US$150 million at auction?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Andy Warhol

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Barnett Newman

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Cassius Marcellus Coolidge

(closed)

Predicted: 0.55%

Actual: 0.00%

Claude Monet

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Damien Hirst

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Edgar Leeteg

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Edvard Munch

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Francis Bacon

(closed)

Predicted: 0.37%

Actual: 0.00%

Gustav Kmlimt

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Henri Matisse

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Jackson Pollock

(closed)

Predicted: 0.86%

Actual: 0.00%

Jasper Johns

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Mark Rothko

(closed)

Predicted: 0.37%

Actual: 0.00%

None by end of market

(closed)

Predicted: 1.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Other

(closed)

Predicted: 0.81%

Actual: 0.00%

Pablo Picasso

(closed)

Predicted: 82.70%

Actual: 100.00%

Paul Cezanne

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Peter Paul Rubens

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Pierre-Auguste Renoir

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Salvador Dali

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Titian

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Vincent Van Gogh

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Willem de Kooning

(closed)

Predicted: 0.83%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

December 31, 2016 @ 09:00pm PST

Predictions Made

23

Most by: bobdevine (10 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Sun May 10 2015 at 06:22pm PDT

wstritt   •   Fri May 01 2015 at 11:18am PDT

Spring auctions are next week. Some chance the $150MM mark will be broken. If it is, market will cash out as of the shceduled start time of the auction.

http://news.yahoo.com/picasso-giacometti-poised-set-records-nyc-auctions-143716704.html

bobdevine   •   Sat Feb 07 2015 at 09:02pm PST

janet   •   Sat Feb 07 2015 at 11:38pm PST

And he wouldn’t be the first to sell for over $150 million, but the question requires an auction.

Rationales

"הערכה אישית"

rubik bought Jackson Pollock at 4.31%
January 03, 2015 @ 04:29am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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More information about the possible answers

Andy Warhol

Cassius Marcellus Coolidge

Claude Monet

Damien Hirst

Edgar Leeteg

Edvard Munch

Gustav Kmlimt

Henri Matisse

Jackson Pollock

Jasper Johns

Mark Rothko

None by end of market

Other

Pablo Picasso

Paul Cezanne

Peter Paul Rubens

Pierre-Auguste Renoir

Salvador Dali

Vincent Van Gogh

Willem de Kooning