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Wisdom of the crowd

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Judgment time

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2015 Academy Awards: Actress in a Leading Role

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Felicity Jones

(closed)

Predicted: 2.89%

Actual: 0.00%

Julianne Moore

(closed)

Predicted: 83.89%

Actual: 100.00%

Marion Cotillard

(closed)

Predicted: 2.36%

Actual: 0.00%

Reese Witherspoon

(closed)

Predicted: 5.59%

Actual: 0.00%

Rosamund Pike

(closed)

Predicted: 5.26%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

February 22, 2015 @ 03:00am PST

Predictions Made

20

Most by: SneakyPete (9 predictions)

Discussion

DeepValue   •   Fri Feb 20 2015 at 02:22pm PST

The master of deep value has found a 5% arbitrage opportunity for everyone on a prediction that expires tonight. Julianne Moore is trading at 79.52% here as of this post: http://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/63431

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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