Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

What will be the domestic weekend box office total for Avengers: Age of Ultron on May 1 - 3, 2015?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

$0 to $19,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.21%

Actual: 0.21%

$20,000,000 to $29,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.21%

Actual: 0.21%

$30,000,000 to $39,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.32%

Actual: 0.32%

$40,000,000 to $49,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.32%

Actual: 0.32%

$50,000,000 to $59,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.32%

Actual: 0.32%

$60,000,000 to $69,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.26%

Actual: 0.26%

$70,000,000 to $79,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.32%

Actual: 0.32%

$80,000,000 to $89,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.32%

Actual: 0.32%

$90,000,000 to $99,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.35%

Actual: 0.35%

$100,000,000 to $109,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.50%

Actual: 0.50%

$110,000,000 to $119,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.53%

Actual: 0.53%

$120,000,000 to $129,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.66%

Actual: 0.66%

$130,000,000 or more

(closed)

Predicted: 95.64%

Actual: 95.64%

  • refunded

Question ends

May 03, 2015 @ 11:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

19

Most by: brnlsl (16 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

lecufr   •   Mon Apr 27 2015 at 04:31pm PDT

Sorry, I’m cancelling this market and refunding everyone’s money. Perhaps someone else would like to set up a market for this movie.

brnlsl (ADMIN)   •   Mon Apr 27 2015 at 03:04pm PDT

This movie is projected to vastly exceed $130 million. Expectation is around $200 million. The previous avengers movie made $207 million in it’s opening weekend.

https://deadline.com/2015/04/international-box-office-avengers-age-of-ultron-furious-7-paul-blart-home-1201416588/

http://www.digitaltrends.com/movies/avengers-age-of-ultron-opens-to-44-8-million-in-2-days-overseas/

chelseaboys   •   Mon Apr 27 2015 at 03:37pm PDT

Let’s start over with a new mkt where ~175 the low and ~300 the high. That would have much more risk.

lecufr   •   Mon Apr 27 2015 at 03:18pm PDT

Per Box Office Mojo, Iron Man 3 made $174M (domestic) its opening weekend but I take your point. I guess some people might make some easy money in this market.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader