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What percentage of the vote will Hillary Clinton get in the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0 to 9.999 percent

(closed)

1.95%

10 to 19.999 percent

(closed)

1.96%

20 to 29.999 percent

(closed)

2.22%

30 to 39.999 percent

(closed)

10.15%

40 to 49.999 percent

(closed)

81.91%

50 to 59.999 percent

(closed)

0.87%

60 to 69.999 percent

(closed)

0.67%

70 to 79.999 percent

(closed)

0.10%

80 to 89.999 percent

(closed)

0.08%

90 to 100 percent

(closed)

0.05%

  • expired

Question ends

February 09, 2016 @ 04:00pm PST

Predictions Made

99

Most by: SneakyPete (26 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:15am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com

bobdevine   •   Thu Jun 18 2015 at 06:45pm PDT

SneakyPete   •   Thu Sep 10 2015 at 07:36pm PDT

Hillary Clintons lead in Dem PRSIDENTIAL field slips:
GOP contenders pull even with her: hill.cm4fnbS5q

onedave   •   Thu Jun 18 2015 at 05:50pm PDT

You are missing 61 to 69.999, 71 to 79.999 and 81 to 89.999.

mvguy   •   Thu Jun 18 2015 at 06:11pm PDT

I’ve changed it to what was intended. I would assume that participants here knew what was meant; if someone lets me know that my error caused him or her a financial loss, I’ll void the question and start over again.

SneakyPete   •   Sun Jun 28 2015 at 01:47pm PDT

I agree with leaving the market as you have corrected it.

mvguy   •   Mon Jun 29 2015 at 12:17pm PDT

Yeah, I think it’s safe to assume by now that the error didn’t cause any problems.

Rationales

"How many votes will the other Dem candidate's take away from her? Surely more than 10 - 15%."

SneakyPete sold 40 to 49.999 percent at 50.31%
July 31, 2015 @ 03:45pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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