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What will be the domestic weekend box office total for Ted 2 on June 26 - 28, 2015?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

$0 to $19,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

$20,000,000 to $29,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.54%

Actual: 0.00%

$30,000,000 to $39,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 97.25%

Actual: 100.00%

$40,000,000 to $49,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 2.19%

Actual: 0.00%

$50,000,000 to $59,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

$60,000,000 to $69,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

$70,000,000 to $79,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

$80,000,000 to $89,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

$90,000,000 to $99,999,999

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

$100,000,000 or more

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

June 28, 2015 @ 11:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

53

Most by: GeneH (18 predictions)

Discussion

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ChloeBurns   •   Mon Jun 29 2015 at 06:29am PDT

Conventional wisdom got it wrong again. This time off by 40% to the downside.

lecufr   •   Mon Jun 29 2015 at 06:20am PDT

Per Box Office Mojo, the estimated opening weekend domestic total for Ted 2 is $33,000,000 . The winning answer for this market is $30M – $39.9M. If the actual total ends up being outside of this range, I will re-cash out the market accordingly.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=ted2.htm

GeneH   •   Sat Jun 27 2015 at 09:49am PDT

Here is an early estimate based on Thursday and Friday boxoffice of $13M, $34M for the whole weekend). Appears to be way off projections at this point. Taking a VERY generous multiple of 2 for Saturday and Sunday that still leaves it just short of $40M.

Still an early estimate though. That is why we play this game… :)

http://time.com/3939009/ted-2-box-office/

GeneH   •   Thu Jun 25 2015 at 01:44pm PDT

People have to be running out of entertainment dollars, right? :)

ChloeBurns   •   Mon Jun 22 2015 at 08:34am PDT

The Hollywood estimates for weekend box office were off by 35% and 60% the last two weekends. I am curious to see how things shape up this weekend.

lecufr   •   Mon Jun 22 2015 at 09:16am PDT

Yeah, Inside Out did way better than would have been expected against the dinosaurs, and apparently no one saw the dinosaurs coming as strong as they did. Seems to me though that Ted 2 is appealing to a relatively niche audience. We’ll see.

historical trend

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