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Will / when will polygamy be legal in the entire United States?

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Most by: lecufr (7 predictions)


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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:14am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit

BeteNoire   •   Wed Jul 08 2015 at 07:31am PDT

Is it illegal now, or just not recognized. For this to be judged “legal” are you talking about at the state or federal level?

benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Wed Jul 08 2015 at 08:40am PDT

Polygamy is currently illegal in all 50 states:

For this question to resolve as true, it would need to either be legalized federally, or by every state.

job   •   Fri Jul 03 2015 at 02:31am PDT

Too long waiting for the first pay out in 2020 ! ! ! ! !

benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jul 07 2015 at 06:28pm PDT

@job, are you light on cash? I could give you a loan… :)

In all seriousness, I agree that questions with (very) long time frames aren’t too lucrative for forecasters, and we should probably find/develop a different format for these.

RTSmith   •   Mon Jul 06 2015 at 07:23pm PDT


historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).

More information about the possible answers

Before January 01, 2020

Between January 01, 2020 and December 31, 2024

Between January 01, 2025 and December 31, 2029

Between January 01, 2030 and December 31, 2034

Not before January 01, 2035