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What will the cut be at the 2015 British Open?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

+1 or below

(closed)

Predicted: 91.97%

Actual: 100.00%

+2

(closed)

Predicted: 5.12%

Actual: 0.00%

+3

(closed)

Predicted: 0.45%

Actual: 0.00%

+4

(closed)

Predicted: 1.42%

Actual: 0.00%

+5

(closed)

Predicted: 0.79%

Actual: 0.00%

+6 or above

(closed)

Predicted: 0.24%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

July 17, 2015 @ 03:00pm PDT

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

79

Most by: GeneH (18 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

jds (ADMIN)   •   Fri Jul 17 2015 at 05:57am PDT

Current cut is even, teetering on -1 actually. Wind is humming now, which’ll push the scores up. Question is by how much. I’m thinking the course could play something like 2 or 3 shots more difficult because of the wind, but probably not much more.

GeneH   •   Fri Jul 17 2015 at 06:08am PDT

It appears to me the soft greens are helping to compensate for the pick up in the wind. Wind + Hard Greens would ballon the scores. Seems to be little fear of going for the flagstick at the moment.

I think you are right. Seems like +2 is the best bet at the moment. However, if the wind does not materialize like they suggest then E and +1 are in play.

jds (ADMIN)   •   Fri Jul 17 2015 at 07:15am PDT

Very true. Adam Scott just hit a six iron that stopped quickly to a pin right behind a bunker. Granted, don’t know if it was into the wind, but that shot shows the softness. Actually don’t think it’ll move to +3. I’d say +2 is the highest it could move.

jds (ADMIN)   •   Wed Jul 15 2015 at 06:02am PDT

Looks to be some high winds on Friday, probably going to push the cut up to the higher ranges.

GeneH   •   Thu Jul 16 2015 at 10:35am PDT

From Accuweather. Gonna be another nail-biter. Rain and, more importantly, high winds. Before I joined Inkling I only cared about the winner. Now I care more about the cut-lines. Somehow it seems so wrong. :)

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/mainly-dry-opening-day-at-the/50299935

jds (ADMIN)   •   Thu Jul 16 2015 at 11:49am PDT

Ha yup! Picking a winner or winning number is pretty hard to nail down. But you can get a pretty good range on the cut number.

Current cut would be even on a pretty easy day compared to tomorrow, so I’m guessing it’ll bump 2-4 shots depending on how blustery it gets and how accurate that report is.

Rationales

"Checking current scores"

Ur!ah2ae bought +1 or below at 91.15%
July 17, 2015 @ 11:09am PDT

"Currently T72 is Even, the wind may blow in the PM but not enough to go to +2."

K$ae9axa bought +1 or below at 40.94%
July 17, 2015 @ 07:32am PDT

historical trend

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