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How many Democrat Senators will vote"NO" on passage of the FIRST approval vote on the resolution of approval of the Iran nuclear deal?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0 - 2 Democrats vote no.

(closed)

Predicted: 17.80%

Actual: 0.00%

3 - 4 Democrats vote no.

(closed)

Predicted: 40.93%

Actual: 100.00%

5 - 6 Democrats vote no.

(closed)

Predicted: 24.42%

Actual: 0.00%

7 or more Democrats vote no.

(closed)

Predicted: 16.83%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 13, 2015 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

89

Most by: GeneH (31 predictions)

Discussion

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GeneH   •   Tue Sep 08 2015 at 06:25pm PDT

Cantwell commits to “yes”. Unless someone has a change of heart (flip flops) then 4 is the max number of "No’s. All other democrats are accounted for.

GeneH   •   Tue Sep 08 2015 at 08:53am PDT

The only undecided Senator left after today (Tuesday) is Cantwell from Washington. I am going to guess she will vote “Yes”.

4 Dems have said they will vote no so Cantwell is the breaker between 4 and 5.

GeneH   •   Thu Sep 03 2015 at 03:50pm PDT

With 3more dems today that leaves 7 undecided. Can’t imagine all 7 seven will go against the party at this point. Seems like “7 or more” will be out of play soon.

I thought Booker would vote “yes”. I think his no vote will make it easier for the rest to follow suit. One or two more at the most (looking at the remaining on the list) will vote no.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/07/14/whip-count-where-the-senate-stands-on-the-iran-deal/

GradualStudent   •   Thu Aug 06 2015 at 08:41pm PDT

Rationales

"This issue is crossing the regular Democrats - Republican lines. "

minagaba bought 7 or more Democrats vote no. at 53.98%
July 19, 2015 @ 06:49am PDT

historical trend

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