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MLB: How many of the 1st place teams at the All-Star break will finish in 1st place?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

0-1

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

2

(closed)

Predicted: 10.59%

Actual: 0.00%

3

(closed)

Predicted: 68.84%

Actual: 100.00%

4

(closed)

Predicted: 13.35%

Actual: 0.00%

5

(closed)

Predicted: 6.98%

Actual: 0.00%

6

(closed)

Predicted: 0.05%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 20, 2015 @ 09:19pm PDT

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

50

Most by: catrachohansen (18 predictions)

Discussion

Rationales

"Hedging"

catrachohansen bought 5 at 15.92%
July 20, 2015 @ 12:51pm PDT

"Probability and hedging"

catrachohansen bought 3 at 16.13%
July 20, 2015 @ 12:50pm PDT

"Probabilistic analysis"

catrachohansen bought 4 at 20.22%
July 20, 2015 @ 12:49pm PDT

"Probabilistic analysis"

catrachohansen sold 0-1 at 16.07%
July 20, 2015 @ 12:48pm PDT

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historical trend

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