Get 5,000 inkles to start making predictions and become legendary.
Make a prediction
Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.
Wisdom of the crowd
Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.
Judgment time
Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?
Question ends
Rolling market never endshistorical trend
Background information
Calvin Coolidge was the first US president to visit Cuba in 1928. Since then, presidential visits to Cuba have been rare.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_international_trips_made_by_the_President_of_the_United_States
Question refers to the current president at the time of cash-out. Visit does not need to be an official visit, but does need to be reported by the mainstream media. If a presidential visit to Cuba is announced in advance, I will cash out when the announcement is made (and undo the cash-out if the visit is canceled.
More information about the possible answers
Before September 01
Before Monday August 31, 2015 21:59:59 -0700
Before October 01
Before Wednesday September 30, 2015 21:59:59 -0700
Before November 01
Before Saturday October 31, 2015 21:59:59 -0700
Before December 01
Before Monday November 30, 2015 21:59:59 -0800
Before January 01
Before Thursday December 31, 2015 21:59:59 -0800
Before February 01
Before Sunday January 31, 2016 21:59:59 -0800
Before March 01
Before Monday February 29, 2016 21:59:59 -0800
Before April 01
Before Thursday March 31, 2016 21:59:59 -0700
Before May 01
Before Saturday April 30, 2016 21:59:59 -0700
Before June 01
Before Tuesday May 31, 2016 21:59:59 -0700
Before July 01
Before Thursday June 30, 2016 23:59:59 -0700
Before August 01
Before Sunday July 31, 2016 23:59:59 -0700
Before September 01
Before Wednesday August 31, 2016 23:59:59 -0700
Before October 01
Before Friday September 30, 2016 23:59:59 -0700
Before November 01
Before Monday October 31, 2016 23:59:59 -0700
Before December 01
Before Wednesday November 30, 2016 23:59:59 -0800
Before January 01
Before Saturday December 31, 2016 23:59:59 -0800
Before February 01
Before Tuesday January 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0800
Before March 01
Before Tuesday February 28, 2017 23:59:59 -0800
Before April 01
Before Friday March 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Before May 01
Before Sunday April 30, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Before June 01
Before Wednesday May 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Before July 01
Before Friday June 30, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Before August 01
Before Monday July 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Before September 01
Before Thursday August 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Between August 28 and September 30
Between Monday August 28, 2017 22:00:00 -0700 and Saturday September 30, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Between September 28 and October 31
Between Thursday September 28, 2017 22:00:00 -0700 and Tuesday October 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0700
Between October 28 and November 30
Between Saturday October 28, 2017 22:00:00 -0700 and Thursday November 30, 2017 23:59:59 -0800
Between November 28 and December 31
Between Tuesday November 28, 2017 22:00:00 -0800 and Sunday December 31, 2017 23:59:59 -0800
Between December 28 and January 31
Between Thursday December 28, 2017 22:00:00 -0800 and Wednesday January 31, 2018 23:59:59 -0800
Between January 28 and February 28
Between Sunday January 28, 2018 22:00:00 -0800 and Wednesday February 28, 2018 23:59:59 -0800
Between February 28 and March 31
Between Wednesday February 28, 2018 22:00:00 -0800 and Saturday March 31, 2018 23:59:59 -0700
Between March 28 and April 30
Between Wednesday March 28, 2018 22:00:00 -0700 and Monday April 30, 2018 23:59:59 -0700
Not before April 28
Not before Saturday April 28, 2018 22:00:00 -0700
Discussion
Sort by:
Date
benthinkin (ADMIN) • Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:15am PST
This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com
lenlesmac • Wed Aug 05 2015 at 08:42am PDT
The current closing date is July 22, 2090? Can this be corrected?
benthinkin (ADMIN) • Wed Aug 05 2015 at 08:54am PDT
This question uses our new continuous date buckets type, so in theory, it will close only when a US president visit cuba. Each month that the president doesn’t visit Cuba, the first bucket will resolve as false, and the last bucket will split in two, adding a new month at the end. You can read more here: http://blog.inklingmarkets.com/2015/05/new-market-type-continuous-date-markets.html
benthinkin (ADMIN) • Wed Aug 05 2015 at 07:32am PDT
@onedave, I’ve adjusted this question to use calendar months rather than 30 day periods. I think it’s a little easier to follow this way.