Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

How many Republican Senators will vote"YES" on passage of the FIRST approval vote on the resolution of approval of the Iran nuclear deal?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

"0" Republicans vote yes on the Iran bill

(closed)

Predicted: 59.91%

Actual: 100.00%

1(One) Republican votes yes on Iran bill.

(closed)

Predicted: 31.21%

Actual: 0.00%

2(Two) Republicans vote yes on Iran bill.

(closed)

Predicted: 5.70%

Actual: 0.00%

3(Three) Republicans vote yes on Iran bill.

(closed)

Predicted: 2.32%

Actual: 0.00%

4 (Four) or more Republicans vote yes on Iran bill.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.85%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

September 13, 2015 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

59

Most by: Paul Theron (22 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

Paul Theron   •   Fri Sep 11 2015 at 07:25am PDT

Will there ever be an “approval vote on the resolution of approval of the Iran nuclear deal”?

Paul Theron   •   Thu Sep 10 2015 at 01:36pm PDT

Does this procedural motion vote count for resolution, SneakyPete? Zero GOP senators:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2015/09/10/senate-set-to-vote-on-iran-nuclear-deal/

GeneH   •   Fri Sep 11 2015 at 05:10am PDT

Paul—in support of your question I would say yes. No Republican is going to change their mind at this point and support the deal, even for procedural purposes. This IS their formal public position on the issue.

I believe this will be the only vote on this issue so it is the de facto final vote that will take place. I do not believe any other procedural motions will overcome what has been done.

Paul Theron   •   Tue Sep 08 2015 at 01:30pm PDT

Collins says no to Iran nuclear deal. The Maine Republican, a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said the deal doesn’t do enough to dismantle Iran’s nuclear program – but her vote won’t stop it from moving forward.

http://www.pressherald.com/2015/09/08/collins-says-no-to-iran-nuclear-deal/

Paul Theron   •   Wed Aug 26 2015 at 10:30pm PDT

Arizona senator Jeff Flake, the lone Republican in the upper house to have been considering support for the Iran nuclear deal, announced plans on Saturday to vote no.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/aug/15/jeff-flake-republican-senator-iran-deal

GeneH   •   Thu Aug 27 2015 at 03:32am PDT

There is still one Senator (Susan Collins, Republican from Maine) who has not declared whether she will support or not.

She has voted with the Democrats on several major and contentious issues so her vote is in play.

Her fellow Senator from Maine (Angus King, an “independent” but he votes with the Democrats most of the time) has come out in favor of the deal so she may not necessarily feel the voter pressure in her State like some other would.

The reason Flake received so much attention is because he suggested earlier he would support the Iran plan.

I believe Susan Collins is 50/50 on this one. Still more drama to go with this question, I am afraid.

Here is a pretty good summary that was published in the past 12 hours.

http://www.pressherald.com/2015/08/26/sen-susan-collins-still-mum-on-iran-nuclear-agreement-as-colleagues-stake-positions/

Rationales

"Will we see one "Turn Coat" Rep senator?"

SneakyPete bought 1(One) Republican votes yes on Iran bill. at 7.54%
August 30, 2015 @ 09:16am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader