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How many members (Democrat & Republican Representatives) of the US House wll announce their retirement, running for a different office, or resign by 15 August 2016?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

20 - 29 Representatives.

(closed)

5.90%

30 - 39 Representatives.

(closed)

11.82%

40- 49 Representatives.

(closed)

55.84%

50 or more Representatives.

(closed)

26.43%

  • expired

Question ends

July 24, 2016 @ 02:30pm PDT

Predictions Made

12

Most by: SneakyPete (4 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:14am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com

SneakyPete   •   Tue Sep 29 2015 at 01:49pm PDT

Rep. Ed Whitefield (R-KY) has announced his retirement.

SneakyPete   •   Sat Sep 12 2015 at 08:50pm PDT

As of 9/12/2015 there have been 20 representatives who have announced that they are retiring, resigning or running for a different office. SEE: www.rollcal.com/politics/casuatylist.html

wstritt   •   Tue Aug 18 2015 at 08:30am PDT

I assume this excludes being defeated in either primary or general elections or death?

SneakyPete   •   Sat Aug 22 2015 at 11:39am PDT

You are correct….losing in the primary or general election are not counted in cashing out this market. Thanks for your comment.

historical trend

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