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What will be the initial estimate of the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of nominal GDP growth in the United States, for the third quarter of 2015?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Less than -0.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 0.30%

Actual: 0.00%

At least -0.5% but less than 0%.

(closed)

Predicted: 3.39%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 0% but less than 0.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 4.52%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 0.5% but less than 1%

(closed)

Predicted: 4.19%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 1% but less than 1.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 5.04%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 1.5% but less than 2%

(closed)

Predicted: 11.31%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 2% but less than 2.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 14.09%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 2.5% but less than 3%

(closed)

Predicted: 14.10%

Actual: 100.00%

At least 3% but less than 3.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 13.81%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 3.5% but less than 4%

(closed)

Predicted: 11.31%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 4% but less than 4.5%

(closed)

Predicted: 8.38%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 4.5% but less than 5%

(closed)

Predicted: 8.38%

Actual: 0.00%

At least 5%

(closed)

Predicted: 1.13%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

October 29, 2015 @ 05:25am PDT

Predictions Made

45

Most by: sflicht (24 predictions)

Discussion

sflicht   •   Tue Aug 25 2015 at 02:50pm PDT

See https://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/65499 for the corresponding question about real GDP.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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