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When will the United States next increase its debt ceiling?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Before September 01

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

Before October 01

(closed)

Predicted: 1.00%

Actual: 0.00%

Before November 01

(closed)

Predicted: 1.84%

Actual: 0.00%

Before December 01

(closed)

Predicted: 94.14%

Actual: 100.00%

Between November 30 and December 31

(closed)

Predicted: 1.71%

Actual: 0.00%

Between December 31 and January 31

(closed)

Predicted: 2.78%

Actual: 0.00%

Between January 31 and February 29

(closed)

Predicted: 0.69%

Actual: 0.00%

Between February 29 and March 31

(closed)

Predicted: 0.33%

Actual: 0.00%

Between March 29 and April 30

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

Between April 29 and May 31

(closed)

Predicted: 0.08%

Actual: 0.00%

Not before May 29

(closed)

Predicted: 0.08%

Actual: 0.00%

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Predictions Made

72

Most by: BeteNoire (15 predictions)

Discussion

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GeneH   •   Mon Nov 02 2015 at 11:39am PST

GeneH   •   Fri Oct 30 2015 at 04:08am PDT

Looks like all it needs is a Presidetial signiture. Happened faster than I thought it would!

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/30/us-usa-fiscal-vote-idUSKCN0SO0FB20151030

BeteNoire   •   Thu Oct 29 2015 at 10:55am PDT

earliest senate is likely to vote is friday, so president likely will not sign until next week.

BeteNoire   •   Tue Oct 27 2015 at 08:15am PDT

An agreement was reached last night to suspend the debt ceiling through March 2017 and it looks like there are the votes to pass it.

Rationales

"If the new timetable is early Nov then December has to be out of play at this point (ceterus paribus)"

GeneH sold Between November 30 and December 31 at 55.36%
October 03, 2015 @ 04:37am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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More information about the possible answers

Before September 01

Before October 01

Before November 01

Before December 01

Between November 30 and December 31

Between December 31 and January 31

Between January 31 and February 29

Between February 29 and March 31

Between March 29 and April 30

Between April 29 and May 31

Not before May 29