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Which New Zealand flag design will receive the most votes?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Koru

(closed)

Predicted: 16.03%

Actual: 16.03%

Silver Fern (Black and White)

(closed)

Predicted: 15.40%

Actual: 15.40%

Silver Fern (Black, White and Blue)

(closed)

Predicted: 38.98%

Actual: 38.98%

Silver Fern (Red, White and Blue)

(closed)

Predicted: 29.57%

Actual: 29.57%

  • refunded

Question ends

November 14, 2015 @ 10:00pm PST

Predictions Made

12

Most by: ChloeBurns (4 predictions)

Discussion

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GeneH   •   Sat Sep 26 2015 at 06:36am PDT

I have not bet on this question yet and during a search for info I came up with this “late-breaking news”—-the Government has added an additional flag for consideration. Apparently it is because of a significant public request for it to be added.

Now there are 5.

Fun times for questions writers. :)

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/australiaandthepacific/newzealand/11884363/New-Zealand-increases-flag-change-options-after-public-pressure.html

bobdevine   •   Sat Sep 26 2015 at 12:30pm PDT

Oh darn!
Because this fundamentally changes this quetion, I will refund it and create a new one.

kmcmorr (ADMIN)   •   Wed Sep 02 2015 at 06:57am PDT

As I understand it, one of these four designs will be considered the “top choice” for a new flag, which will then be voted on against the current flag in March of next year. Just to clarify this market is asking which will be the “top choice?”
Thanks. This will be interesting.

bobdevine   •   Wed Sep 02 2015 at 11:22am PDT

Thanks, I’ll change the wording. This question will be decided on the vote to be held by the end of 2015. Whether the the chosen design actually be the official flag probably will occur in 2016.

Rationales

"Classy with a reference to the past"

unregistered_user_exa#h5cT bought Silver Fern (Black, White and Blue) at 35.79%
September 18, 2015 @ 06:45am PDT

"Strong historical pressure to go red, white and blue"

applejacksK bought Silver Fern (Red, White and Blue) at 30.86%
September 07, 2015 @ 03:45pm PDT

"Sorry - ugly."

wstritt sold Silver Fern (Black and White) at 29.21%
September 02, 2015 @ 01:52pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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