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If the United States does not increase or suspend its debt ceiling by November 5, will it miss debt payments on the following days?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

November 05

(closed)

Predicted: 64.30%

Actual: 64.30%

November 12

(closed)

Predicted: 29.99%

Actual: 29.99%

November 19

(closed)

Predicted: 12.61%

Actual: 12.61%

November 26

(closed)

Predicted: 9.66%

Actual: 9.66%

  • refunded

Question ends

December 01, 2015 @ 12:45pm PST

Predictions Made

24

Most by: BeteNoire (9 predictions)

Discussion

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jeuxjeux99   •   Tue Sep 06 2016 at 05:57pm PDT

Good business man i love it! This is amazing and interesting.

BeteNoire   •   Wed Sep 07 2016 at 09:12am PDT

To whom and what are you referring?

GeneH   •   Mon Oct 26 2015 at 04:32pm PDT

BeteNoire   •   Mon Oct 26 2015 at 07:06pm PDT

Exactly.

BeteNoire   •   Mon Oct 19 2015 at 01:26pm PDT

They would slow payments to hospitals and docs under medicare and Medicaid, and slow payments to defense contractors before defaulting on the debt which is a relatively small payment.

historical trend

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