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If the United States does not increase or suspend its debt ceiling by November 12, will it miss debt payments on the following days?




November 12


Predicted: 64.30%

Actual: 64.30%

November 19


Predicted: 22.31%

Actual: 22.31%

November 26


Predicted: 14.99%

Actual: 14.99%

December 3


Predicted: 14.99%

Actual: 14.99%

  • refunded

Question ends

December 08, 2015 @ 12:45pm PST

Predictions Made


Most by: GeneH (5 predictions)


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jeuxjeux99   •   Tue Sep 06 2016 at 05:57pm PDT

Yes bro i share this topic with my best friends!

BeteNoire   •   Sat Oct 31 2015 at 01:53pm PDT

Attention people, this is likely to be refunded as indicated in the notes. So, if you have a profit you should cash out.

GeneH   •   Fri Oct 30 2015 at 04:09am PDT

Looks like all it needs is a Presidetial signiture. Happened faster than I thought it would!

BeteNoire   •   Mon Oct 19 2015 at 01:26pm PDT

They would slow payments to hospitals and docs under medicare and Medicaid, and slow payments to defense contractors before defaulting on the debt which is a relatively small payment.

GeneH   •   Mon Oct 19 2015 at 01:30pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).