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Will Boeing/Lockheed-Martin succeed or prevail in their protest of the US Air Force Long Range Strike Bomber program decision before February 15, 2016?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

83.76%

  • expired

Question ends

February 15, 2016 @ 11:38am PST

Predictions Made

11

Most by: BeteNoire (3 predictions)

Discussion

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jeuxjeux99   •   Tue Sep 06 2016 at 05:56pm PDT

Good luck my friends thanks.

benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:14am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com

BeteNoire   •   Fri Jan 01 2016 at 03:31pm PST

Probability seems too high to me at this level – nearly 84%.

JimB61   •   Mon Dec 07 2015 at 12:03pm PST

JimB61   •   Thu Dec 03 2015 at 08:00am PST

JimB61   •   Wed Nov 25 2015 at 08:25am PST

GeneH   •   Sat Nov 07 2015 at 04:14pm PST

I think this program is “too big to fail” and will not be undone. Too much at stake for a significant delay to occur. I give this protest little chance for success.

BeteNoire   •   Sat Nov 07 2015 at 02:48pm PST

Boeing Protests Bomber Award To Northrop Grumman, Claims Selection Process ‘Fundamentally Flawed’
http://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2015/11/06/boeing-protests-bomber-award-finds-process-fundamentally-flawed/

BeteNoire   •   Sat Nov 07 2015 at 08:45am PST

This is an interesting question and difficult to judge since the historical observations are limited. Boeing did prevail once before, but it’s an uphill battle. Details are difficult or impossible to get because most of the info is highly classified. I would be interested in the reasoning of those who think Boeing will prevail. I’m going to post a related question.

SneakyPete   •   Sat Nov 07 2015 at 02:31pm PST

Boeing has previously contested and won the contract for the AF refueling tanker program. Boeing claims that the AF will end up paying more fot the bomber and the risk that the bomber will not be delivered on time (2020) as forecasted. There is only a 15% probablity that the GAO will overturn the award program and reopen the he bid competition.
www.washingtonpost.com/news/wp/2015/111/06/boeing-protests-northrops-win-of-long-range-strike-bomber-contract/

Rationales

"hunch"

unregistered_user_G#v2ugep bought at 50.00%
December 09, 2015 @ 10:24am PST

historical trend

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