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When will Boeing make delivery of its first 787?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED DATE

TODAY

Delivery Date

(closed)

Predicted: September 25, 2011

Actual: September 25, 2011

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Question ends

December 23, 2011 @ 05:18pm PST

Predictions Made

473

Most by: wstritt (298 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Sun Sep 25 2011 at 10:58am PDT

Boeing finally delivered the first 787 today, September 25, 2011. At long last this market can cash out.

http://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/09/25/7925212-boeings-787-murphys-law-of-airplanes-finally-gets-to-a-customer

wstritt   •   Sun Sep 18 2011 at 06:47am PDT

First delivery is September 26th per Boing website. 28th appears to be first ANA flight.

http://www.boeing.com/newairplane/787/firstDelivery/

wstritt   •   Fri Aug 26 2011 at 11:09am PDT

At long last, September 28, 2011.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44289107/ns/business-us_business/

Boeing 787 market has been very very good to me.

mvguy   •   Fri Aug 26 2011 at 01:25pm PDT

Same here. I have around $1 million in this market, so it’s been good to me too. I don’t know what I’ll do with that much cash.

job   •   Wed Jan 19 2011 at 09:48am PST

SEATTLE – Boeing pushed back deliveries of its new 787 Dreamline again on Tuesday, meaning that the soonest it will arrive is July.
Boeing said it expects to deliver the plane during the third quarter, which would be between July and the end of September .
http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/Boeing-pushes-back-delivery-capress-4291644748.html?x=0

wstritt   •   Mon Nov 22 2010 at 07:46pm PST

Looks like 4Q11 or maybe even 2012 now. Probably need to extend market closing again.

http://atwonline.com/aircraft-engines-components/news/boeing-set-announce-another-787-delay-1121

wstritt   •   Tue Mar 30 2010 at 02:04pm PDT

wstritt   •   Thu Dec 11 2008 at 07:21am PST

Boeing just announced first delivery delayed until 2010.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28174912/

wstritt   •   Wed Jul 02 2008 at 08:54pm PDT

For anyone else keeping track, first delivery is scheduled for sometime in the 3rd quarter of 2009 assuming no further delays. That translates into another 90-100 inklings from current 505 (3/20/09 date) but no payout for at least 12 months.

http://www.boeing.com/news/releases/2008/q2/080409b_nr.html

wstritt   •   Wed Jul 23 2008 at 06:05pm PDT

On the other hand, the market closes on 5/1/09. Will it cash out as of that date if no delivery? Or will market be extended? Or trading halted until ultimate payout?

sircu5   •   Sun Oct 14 2007 at 11:20pm PDT

…and apparently, now that we’ve reached 100, we can’t move the date any further back than Feb 2008…

wstritt   •   Mon Oct 15 2007 at 10:03am PDT

Never thought about price getting capped at $100 since there is no way for delivery to occur as early as Feb 2008. Even if start date was 12/2008, at $1 day (which appears to be the rate of movement) the market would have capped out in April 2008, before the original delivery date. Maybe a September 2008 start date would have worked?

nate   •   Mon Oct 15 2007 at 01:32pm PDT

sorry the cap at $100 isn’t intentional. will get it fixed soon.

sircu5   •   Sun Oct 14 2007 at 11:19pm PDT

I agree. Maybe the market was supposed to start at December 2008?

wstritt   •   Sun Oct 14 2007 at 09:24am PDT

Hmmmm. Let’s see. Originally scheduled first delivery was May 2008. Boeing announces at least 6 month delay. That adds up to???? And market currently at December 2007. Free money to be had aside from wait for payoff. Not a terribly efficient market.

Rationales

"July at the earliest"

sircu5 bought at April 19, 2011
December 18, 2010 @ 02:28am PST

"The news about a test flight can't be good news for Boeing."

mvguy bought at February 01, 2011
November 10, 2010 @ 08:07am PST

"stop loss"

papanek bought at January 24, 2010
March 03, 2009 @ 07:50am PST

"New delay"

sircu5 bought at July 18, 2009
December 11, 2008 @ 07:23am PST

historical trend

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Delivery Date