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Who will be the next member of Congress from New Mexico's 2nd CD?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Al Kissling (D)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.02%

Actual: 0.00%

Bill McCamley (D)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.72%

Actual: 0.00%

Bob Cornelius (R)

(closed)

Predicted: 0.43%

Actual: 0.00%

Ed Tinsley (R)

(closed)

Predicted: 44.54%

Actual: 0.00%

Frank McKinnon (D)

(closed)

Predicted: 3.21%

Actual: 0.00%

Harry Teague (D)

(closed)

Predicted: 55.05%

Actual: 100.00%

Joe Cervantes (D)

(closed)

Predicted: 3.29%

Actual: 0.00%

Someone Else

(closed)

Predicted: 0.40%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

October 01, 2008 @ 06:00am PDT

Predictions Made

279

Most by: wstritt (62 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Wed Jun 04 2008 at 03:28pm PDT

Looks like Teague (D) versus Tinsley®. McCamley lost while Kissling, Cornelius and McKinnon dropped out of the race over 2 months ago.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2008/by_state/NM_US_House_0603.html?SITE=NMALJELN&SECTION=POLITICS

wstritt   •   Sat Mar 22 2008 at 12:19pm PDT

Milos   •   Wed Mar 26 2008 at 10:56pm PDT

As did kissling

Milos   •   Fri Mar 21 2008 at 12:46am PDT

Frank McKinnon dropped out, someone should update this.

Earl Blackwell   •   Tue Feb 26 2008 at 04:28pm PST

The population centers of District 2 are set up in a way that, though money is handy to have, it won’t be as much of a factor as it is in other elections.

Earl Blackwell   •   Mon Feb 25 2008 at 09:56pm PST

At the Socorro preprimary convention, Teage and McCamley looked weak. You should have seen their faces when McKinnon suggested that they were clones of Pearce. I think McKinnon is right on with this.

Bubba Todd   •   Tue Jan 22 2008 at 02:22pm PST

The only reason McCamley and Teague are running on the democratic ticket is that there isn’t room on the republican side.

You are right in saying that those of us who don’t know republican politics should not comment on them. The democratic side will be much more exciting in this election. McKinnon will make sure of that. He’s got both republicans and democrats on his side, especially in southeastern New Mexico.

Theodore_Reagan   •   Mon Jan 21 2008 at 11:40pm PST

Have you seen the polls? Insiders have Bob Cornelius leading by 5+ points now in a group of 7 GOP candidates. The Party loves both Greer and Cornelius. Those who don’t know Republican politics, shouldn’t comment on them!

Lt. Governor Denish and many other Big Ds are backing Harry Teague. Denish needs a Democrat Congressman from Eastern NM to help her win the Governor race in 2010.

Jim Bunn   •   Sun Jan 20 2008 at 08:49pm PST

I don’t know where you get your information, but Teague won’t be able to buy this election. Kissling isn’t looking very strong. It will be a toss up between Teague and Kissling for being the 3rd candidate in the Dem primary, if there is a 3rd candidate. McCamley started out strong, but McKinnon has an edge of a lead in most counties.

Neither Greer or Cornelius have any substance, and would not have a chance against McCamley or McKinnon.

Theodore_Reagan   •   Sun Jan 20 2008 at 03:24am PST

We’ve studied McKinnon. He’s a left-wing, tree-hugging nut. All the major Ds are lining up behind Teague. McCamley will make it interesting. The Democrats would do themselves a huge favor by Kissling and McKinnon dropping out and letting the two big hitters duke it out.

On the Republican side, you have to like the chances of Earl Greer and Bob Cornelius. Both are insider Republicans who know the system. There strategies can out work all the cash of Tinsley, Dunn, and Newman. Earl Greer vs. Bob Cornelius is style versus substance. In the GOP primary, substance always wins. What an exciting race!

Jim Bunn   •   Fri Jan 18 2008 at 10:30pm PST

Have you studied McKinnon? He is no ordinary politician. People like what he is saying.

Theodore_Reagan   •   Fri Jan 18 2008 at 07:06pm PST

There is no way in hell McKinnon can win! Who is he any way? The race will be either Earl Greer or Bob Cornelius vs. Harry Teague. Enough said!

Willard Murphy   •   Mon Jan 14 2008 at 07:44am PST

If McKinnon wins, things could get interesting in Washington.

nmelection2008   •   Sun Jan 13 2008 at 06:53pm PST

South half of New Mexico is a big spread of land with a few people.

Peter Ortho   •   Wed Jan 09 2008 at 09:31pm PST

This is going to be an interesting race

Joe Massey   •   Sun Jan 06 2008 at 10:42pm PST

Have you heard what McKinnon is saying about the nuke industry taking over New Mexico?

nmelection2008   •   Thu Jan 03 2008 at 07:38pm PST

nmrepublican would like for McCamley to win the primary on the Democrats side, and for Cornelius to win the primary on the Republican side. This might happen 10 years from now.

nmrepublican   •   Thu Jan 03 2008 at 01:38pm PST

With Cervantes out, the Democrats no longer have a formidable candidate in the general election. I like McCamley, but he has gone way to far to the left to get elected in CD2. He is pushing Tom Udall liberal status, and that won’t cut it.

On the Republican side, Tinsley is the most loaded, backed by special interest money. Cornelius is the only one proposing any solutions to our state and our nation’s problems.

Cornelius vs. McCamley would be a great race. Solid R vs. Solid D! Two young, bright, charismatic leaders. What a showdown!

nmelection2008   •   Sun Dec 30 2007 at 10:04am PST

Cervantes would have made it hard for McKinnon to win.

Bubba Todd   •   Sat Dec 29 2007 at 10:36pm PST

Cervantes has dropped out of the race.

Bubba Todd   •   Fri Dec 28 2007 at 09:32pm PST

Agree: Cervantes does have a slight advantage, but it will be an interesting primary on the Democratic side.

McCamley is a smart kid. But he is trying too hard to get the job, and this could be his downfall.

Kissling has as good a chance as Cervantes and McCamley.

Teague is well liked, but it would take a lot for him to win.

McKinnon is an underdog with a cause that the masses care about which makes the powers that be nervous.

Cornelius and Tinsley have some homework to do and a big mountain to climb against any of the Democrats.

nmrepublican   •   Fri Dec 28 2007 at 02:46pm PST

Frank McKinnon must have logged on!

nmrepublican   •   Thu Dec 27 2007 at 01:16pm PST

What a year for NM politics!

I give the advantage to Joe Cervantes on Democrat side.

I give a slight edge to Ed Tinsley because of his cash, but I think Bob Cornelius has the better run campaign and knows the system better than anyone. So, he could easily pull this thing off.

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Al Kissling (D)

Bill McCamley (D)

Ed Tinsley (R)

Frank McKinnon (D)

Harry Teague (D)

Joe Cervantes (D)