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What happens first in U.S.? Female President or Female Vice-President?

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Question ends

December 31, 2020 @ 07:42pm PST

Predictions Made

144

Most by: ChloeBurns (41 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Tue Jan 05 2016 at 10:15am PST

This market has been suspended. To forecast similar questions, please visit http://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com

RTSmith   •   Tue Jul 02 2013 at 10:01pm PDT

Can’t believe anyone is trading on this before an election

ChloeBurns   •   Wed Aug 28 2013 at 10:17pm PDT

@RTSmith, What’s so hard to believe? This market is perfectly correlated with Hillary Clinton stocks elsewhere on Inkling. Hence it is another source of liquidity for anyone wishing to express an opinion about the Clinton 2016 ticket.

ecotax   •   Sat Feb 26 2011 at 06:15am PST

Market ends at 2020, so there’ll be a few possibitities. If neither happens, the market can always be refunded I guess.

mpa5220   •   Fri Jan 25 2008 at 07:05am PST

Then we wait until 2012 (or possible earlier).

crass_az   •   Wed Jan 23 2008 at 07:08pm PST

What if neither happens?

Rationales

"Time for change!"

yourmyrrh bought Female President at 68.34%
October 30, 2013 @ 11:33am PDT

"It is extraordinarily unlikely that any major party will select a female presidential and vice-presidential candidate on the same ticket. One of the arguments against the Obama-Clinton ticket was that it was too much change for one ticket, and two women on the ticket would face the same argument. I am convinced the correct price for this stock is much lower. However, as money exits this market, the value of the stock will go up to whatever arbitrary value the market maker first assigned to the stock. If I didn't have to tie up $100/share to short this stock, I might be more willing to hold this trade."

ChloeBurns bought Simultaneous at 13.01%
October 15, 2008 @ 06:10am PDT

historical trend

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