Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.


Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.


Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Which Democrat will get the most National Delegates from Virginia's February 12 Primary?




Barack Obama


Predicted: 91.22%

Actual: 100.00%

Hillary Clinton


Predicted: 8.05%

Actual: 0.00%



Predicted: 0.73%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

February 11, 2008 @ 11:59pm PST

Predictions Made


Most by: chbigelow (5 predictions)


Sort by: Down Date

jsachs   •   Wed Feb 06 2008 at 04:45am PST

Congressional District Conventions will be held on
May 10, 17 or 24 and each convention will select
4 delegates (1st, 2nd, 6th, 10th CDs), 5 delegates
(4th, 5th, 7th, 9th, 11th CDs), 6 delegates (3rd,
11th CDs) or 7 delegates (8th CD), and all CDs
will also choose 1 alternate. The filing deadlines
are April 25, May 2, or May 9. The State
Convention will be held on June 14 in Hampton
and will elect 18 at large delegates, 3 at-large
alternates and 13 Party Leader and Elected Official
(PLEO) delegates. The filing deadline is June 2.
Virginia’s delegation will also include 14
unpledged PLEO (automatic) delegates.
Virginia’s National Convention Delegation will be
equally divided between men and women at the
Congressional District and State levels.
Presidential candidates have the right to approve or
disapprove all National Delegate candidates.
Because the delegate allocations are based on the
primary results, all delegates and alternates (with
the exception of 2 unpledged delegates elected at
the State Convention) must be committed to a
presidential candidate; there will be no “uncommitted” delegates.

jsachs   •   Wed Feb 06 2008 at 04:53am PST

Because of the proportional representation, if each congressional district was decided by 1 vote either way, the at large would be devided 9-9, while the 6 congressional districts with odd number of national delegates would grant the extra national delegate to the winner of that congressional district and decide which candidate wins this market. The 13 Party leader delegates (generally aligned with state winner) and 14 unpledge automatic delegates (party leaders) are not included.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).

More information about the possible answers