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When will an effective AIDS Vaccine be made available?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

never

(closed)

Predicted: 28.02%

Actual: 28.02%

within 10 years

(closed)

Predicted: 37.53%

Actual: 37.53%

within 15 years

(closed)

Predicted: 34.23%

Actual: 34.23%

within 5 years

(closed)

Predicted: 0.21%

Actual: 0.21%

  • refunded

Question ends

February 14, 2020 @ 01:38pm PST

topic

Science

Predictions Made

26

Most by: ecotax (6 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Mon Oct 26 2015 at 09:18am PDT

This question has been refunded due to its long timeframe.

taz   •   Sun Nov 24 2013 at 05:12am PST

the sooner, the better

ecotax   •   Fri Sep 13 2013 at 04:13am PDT

Ishmael17   •   Thu Jun 20 2013 at 07:30am PDT

Given that this market appears to have been started in February of 2008, I think the 5-year option can now be closed at 0.

ecotax   •   Fri Apr 26 2013 at 01:56am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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