Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

  • View:
  • Collapsed_icon
  • Expanded_icon

Will Dick Costolo still be the CEO of Twitter on June 1, 2015?

86.25% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Will the Department of Justice file a federal antitrust lawsuit against the merger of Comcast Corp. and Time Warner Inc.?

0.17% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

What will be the lowest closing price of 62% Fe Iron Ore by the end of day July 31, 2015?

42.50

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader
  • refunded

Now that we've reset everyone's balances to the starting $5,000, will participation in Inkling Markets increase?

59.39% chance

Ajax-loader

Based upon closing prices during the quarter, will the S&P 500 experience a 10% decline any time during the third quarter of 2015?

14.09% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader
  • expired

What will be the U.S. unemployment rate for April, 2015?

Most Active Answer

5.4%

49.40% chance

Ajax-loader

Will McDonald's announce a national roll out of all day breakfast before January 1, 2016?

79.58% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader
  • expired

Rouble: what will be the lowest USD-RUB price before May 3rd, 2015?

Most Active Answer

Above 45 RUB/USD, but below 50 RUB/USD

76.64% chance

Ajax-loader
  • expired

Will the VIX spot price exceed 25 at any time by 2015 Jun 30th? [Based on http://www.cboe.com/delayedquote/advchart.aspx?ticker=VIX]

18.25% chance

Ajax-loader

Will Tesla release a software update for a self-driving mechanism on their Model S sedans by August 1, 2015?

61.31% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

What will be the closing price of the Dutch index AEX on these days in 2015?

Most Active Answer

02 last day in June

520.00

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

How many restaurant chains will announce using chicken raised without antibiotics* before September 1, 2015?

Most Active Answer

3

25.65% chance

▲ 0.77% ($0.77) today

Ajax-loader

Which company will win the contract for the Air Force's Long Range Strike Bomber program?

Most Active Answer

Boeing/Lockheed Martin

59.18% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Will Sears Holdings Corp. file for bankruptcy before December 31, 2015?

33.72% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Who will succeed Warren Buffett as head of Berkshire Hathaway?

Most Active Answer

(none by closing)

61.42% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

How many oil-train accidents will occur in the USA in 2015?

Most Active Answer

6-9

46.76% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

What will be the lowest closing price of WTI Oil before July 1, 2015?

Most Active Answer

Greater than 40 USD/BBL

97.37% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Will Dropbox have an initial public offering before July 1, 2015?

28.83% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Will the yield on 10-Year Treasury Inflation Protection Security ("TIPS") exceed 50 basis points at the end of trading on June 30, 2015?

28.50% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

At what price will Apple close at the end of the following days in 2015?

Most Active Answer

December 1

132.00

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Which of the following companies will file bankruptcy in 2015?

Most Active Answer

The McClatchy Company

24.61% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

In 2015, how many publicly-traded offshore drilling contractors will enter bankruptcy court?

Most Active Answer

3

21.30

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader
  • expired

Based upon closing prices during the quarter, will the S&P 500 experience a 10% decline any time during the second quarter of 2015?

5.91% chance

Ajax-loader

How many US banks will fail in 2015?

Most Active Answer

10-12

44.45% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

What will the bitcoin be worth in 2015?

Most Active Answer

c. US $ on October1, 2015

332.50

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

Which country will be the first to default on its sovereign debt before 2017?

Most Active Answer

Greece

59.64% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

In which quarter will the U.S. Federal Reserve first increase its target for the Fed Funds Rate?

Most Active Answer

3rd 2015

40.72% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

By June 1st, 2015, will Berkshire Hathaway acquire a company on the S&P 500?

46.91% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader

By June 1st, 2015, will the WSJ have a story (even if just rumors) that ExxonMobil has approached BP for a merger or acquisition?

23.58% chance

no change ($0.00) today

Ajax-loader