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When (if ever) will the United States miss a debt payment?

Most Active Answer

Not before December 25

98.41% chance

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When (if ever) will the United States miss a debt payment?

Most Active Answer

Between January 31 and July 31

48.31% chance

no change ($0.00) today

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When will a mining pool attain more than 50% of the Bitcoin network power?

Most Active Answer

Between July 31 and January 31

39.39% chance

no change ($0.00) today

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When will either the United States or China build an encryption cracking quantum computer?

Most Active Answer

Between December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2018

28.14% chance

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When will quantum key distribution be integrated into a commercially available mobile device?

Most Active Answer

Between December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2018

29.96% chance

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When will quantum key distribution be integrated into a prototype mobile device?

Most Active Answer

Before January 01, 2018

30.81% chance

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  • DISCUSSION

Scaled Questions

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Will Donald Trump run for president as a third party candidate?

8.20% chance

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When will Google's Project Glass launch? (continuous date version)

Most Active Answer

Before January 01, 2018

22.06% chance

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How many 3-pointers will Anthony Davis make in the 2015-2016 season?

Most Active Answer

25-49

28.82% chance

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Will / when will polygamy be legal in the entire United States?

Most Active Answer

Not before January 01, 2035

54.73% chance

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  • DISCUSSION

Continuous Date Markets

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Will each presidential candidate win the 2016 presidential election if nominated by a major party?

Most Active Answer

Hillary Clinton

65.93% chance

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When will Cuba announce or confirm the death of Fidel Castro?

Most Active Answer

2015

47.37% chance

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  • completed

When will the United States next increase or suspend its debt ceiling?

Most Likely Answer

Between October 30 and November 05

100.00% chance

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When will the United States next increase its debt ceiling?

Most Likely Answer

Before December 01

100.00% chance

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Following the 2015 Canadian election, which party will the Canadian Prime Minister belong to?

Most Likely Answer

Liberals

100.00% chance

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What will happen to Tom Thibodeau's job before the first game of the 2015/2016 NBA offseason?

Most Likely Answer

Fired by the Bulls

100.00% chance

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Will Brian Williams be the anchor and managing editor of NBC Nightly News on May 1, 2015?

100.00% chance

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Will David Petraeus be indicted and/or convicted of any felony charge?

Most Likely Answer

Plea bargain reached prior to indictment

100.00% chance

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Will Mitt Romney announce a run for president by July 1, 2015, for the 2016 race?

0.00% chance

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