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How many primaries (or caucuses) will Donald Trump win in the 2016 Republican nomination process?

Most Active Answer

2 or more

58.74% chance

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What currency will Greece use as of 1 March 2016?

Most Active Answer

Euro only

99.94% chance

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President in 2016?

Most Active Answer

Other

23.19% chance

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Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2016?

Most Active Answer

Other

17.07% chance

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Will the UK hold a referendum to leave the EU?

Most Active Answer

Yes but it fails

50.40% chance

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Who will Gov. Chris Christie appoint to replace Sen. Bob Menendez?

Most Active Answer

None

58.01% chance

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Who will be chosen Democratic Party Whip in the Senate after Sen. Harry Reid is replaced as Party Leader?

Most Active Answer

Sen. Dick Durbin

38.56% chance

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When will human beings first walk on the surface of Mars?

January 26, 2026

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Who will replace Sen. Harry Reid as Senate Minority (or Majority) Leader in the 115th Congress??

Most Active Answer

Sen. Chuck Schumer (NY)

58.56% chance

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Will more than two serious candidates run in the 2016 presidential election?

7.79% chance

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I will retire in 2039. When I do so, what percent of current Social Security benefits will I receive?

Most Likely Answer

69.999% or less

14.18% chance

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In 2016, the U.S. Presidential Election will be won by a candidate from which political party?

Most Active Answer

Democratic

58.37% chance

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Which Oscar hopeful will be the 20th (or better) highest grossing film of 2013?

Most Likely Answer

American Hustle

100.00% chance

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Will the U.S. government shut down due to lack of funding before 1/1/14?

100.00% chance

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How low can it go? What will Congress's approval rating be on 31 May 2013?

Most Likely Answer

number of points above 15.0%

0.00

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After the 2014 elections, the U.S. Senate will be controlled by which party?

Most Likely Answer

Republican

100.00% chance

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After the 2014 elections, the U.S. House of Representatives will be controlled by which party?

Most Likely Answer

Republican

100.00% chance

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If elected to the U.S. Senate, will Angus King caucus with the Democrats or Republicans?

Most Likely Answer

Democrats

100.00% chance

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What is Citigroup's fate?

Most Likely Answer

Sells assets

100.00% chance

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Will Senator Joe Lieberman be punished for his support of Senator John McCain?

Most Likely Answer

NO: retains committee chairmanship

100.00% chance

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How many Republicans will be included in Obama's Cabinet?

Most Likely Answer

2

100.00% chance

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Who will be appointed the next U.S. Secretary of the Treasury?

Most Likely Answer

Timothy Geithner

100.00% chance

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When will President-elect Obama appoint his first Cabinet Secretary?

Most Likely Answer

11/20/08 - 11/26/08

100.00% chance

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Will the real Sarah Palin appear on SNL before the election?

100.00% chance

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Which of the following indices will perform best in 2008?

Most Likely Answer

10-Year Treasury Note

100.00% chance

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