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expired
Following the 2016 general elections, how many US Senate seats will the Republicans hold, not including Independents who may caucus with them?
Most Active Answer
54 or greater number of seats.
25.00% chance

49 or less number of seats.
25.00% chance
50 - 51 seats.
25.00% chance
52 - 53 seats.
25.00% chance
54 or greater number of seats.
25.00% chance
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US SENATE: Which candidate will win the Nevada US Senate race in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016 to replace retiring Sen. Harry Reid?
Most Active Answer
Republican Candidate. (R).
49.50% chance

Democratic Candidate. (D)
49.50% chance
Other candidate.
1.00% chance
Republican Candidate. (R).
49.50% chance
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US SENATE: Which candidate will win the North Carolina US Senate race between Sen. Richard Burr (R) vs the Democratic Candidate (D) in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016 to replace Sen Marco Rubio?
Most Active Answer
Sen. Richard Burr. (R).
49.50% chance

Democratic Candidate. (D)
49.50% chance
Other candidate.
1.00% chance
Sen. Richard Burr. (R).
49.50% chance
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US SENATE: Which candidate will win the Florida US Senate race between Rep. Alan Grayson (D) vs Lt Gov. Lopez-Cantera (R) in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016 to replace Sen Marco Rubio?
Most Active Answer
Lt Gov. Lopez - Cantera (R).
33.00% chance

Lt Gov. Lopez - Cantera (R).
33.00% chance
Other candidate.
1.00% chance
Patrick Murphy. (D)
33.00% chance
Rep. A. Grayson (D).
33.00% chance
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US SENATE: Which candidate will win the New Hampshire US Senate race between Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) vs Se. Kelley Ayotte (R) in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016?
Most Active Answer
Gov. Maggie Hassan. (D).
49.50% chance

Gov. Maggie Hassan. (D).
49.50% chance
Other candidate.
1.00% chance
Sen. Kelly Ayotte. (R).
49.50% chance
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US SENATE: Which candidate will win the Ohio US Senate race between Ted Strictland (D) vs Rob Portland (R) in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016?
Most Active Answer
T. Strictland (D).
33.33% chance

Other candidate.
33.33% chance
R. Portman (R).
33.33% chance
T. Strictland (D).
33.33% chance
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US SENATE:Which candidate will win the Wisconsin US Senate race between Rus Feingold (D) vs Ron Johnson (R) in the 2016 general election 8 November 2016?
Most Active Answer
R. Feingold (D).
33.33% chance

Other candidate.
33.33% chance
R. Feingold (D).
33.33% chance
R. Johnson (R).
33.33% chance
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Who will President Obama give an endorsement to for their presidential candidacy prior to Friday 29 January 2016?
Most Active Answer
H. Clinton.
55.33% chance

B. Sanders.
7.25% chance
H. Clinton.
55.33% chance
J. Biden.
0.00% chance
No endorsement prior to 29 Jan 2016.
29.87% chance
Other candidate.
7.54% chance
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How many members (Democrat & Republican Representatives) of the US House wll announce their retirement, running for a different office, or resign by 15 August 2016?
Most Active Answer
40- 49 Representatives.
55.84% chance

20 - 29 Representatives.
5.90% chance
30 - 39 Representatives.
11.82% chance
40- 49 Representatives.
55.84% chance
50 or more Representatives.
26.43% chance
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Which US House candidate, actress Melissa Gilbert (D) or Rep Mike Bishop (R), will win the Michigan US HOUSE 8TH Congressional District race during the 8 November 2016 general election?
Most Active Answer
Rep Mike Bishop (R).
59.30% chance

Melissa Gilbert (D).
39.90% chance
Other Candidate.
0.80% chance
Rep Mike Bishop (R).
59.30% chance
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Which of SneakyPete's "Top 13 2016 Presidential toss-up states", will the Democractic Presidential candidate win, on Tuesday 8 November 2016?
Most Active Answer
Colorado.
50.00% chance

Colorado.
50.00% chance
Florida.
50.00% chance
Iowa.
50.00% chance
Massachusetts.
50.00% chance
Michigan.
50.00% chance
Nevada
50.00% chance
New Hampshire.
50.00% chance
North Carolina.
50.00% chance
Ohio.
50.00% chance
Pennsylvania.
50.00% chance
South Carolina.
50.00% chance
Virginia.
50.00% chance
Wisconsin.
50.00% chance
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How many Democratic Senators will vote “NO” on the Senate Floor vote measure authorizing President Obama’s the use of force in response of Syria’s use of chemical weapons against its people?
Most Likely Answer
11 - 15 Dem Senators.
30.57% chance

1 - 5 Dem Senators.
9.62% chance
6 - 10 Dem Senators.
24.04% chance
11 - 15 Dem Senators.
30.57% chance
16 or more Dem Senators.
20.08% chance
None
15.68% chance
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Prior to being sworn in as the 45th President of the United States, the 45th President's previous occupations included...? (multiple answers may be correct)
Most Active Answer
Attorney/lawyer
77.70% chance

Attorney/lawyer
77.70% chance
Billionaire
0.84% chance
Governor
28.34% chance
House Representative
1.93% chance
Mayor
1.88% chance
Military service member
2.17% chance
Presidential cabinet member.
64.66% chance
Senator
68.49% chance
Vice-President
2.08% chance
None of the above.
1.10% chance
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Who will win the 2016 U.S. Presidential election?
Most Active Answer
* Hillary Clinton
60.64% chance

* Any Democrat not listed
0.18% chance
* Any Republican not listed
0.06% chance
* Ben Carson
0.12% chance
* Bobby Jindal
0.00% chance
* Chris Christie
0.15% chance
* Donald Trump
1.06% chance
* Hillary Clinton
60.64% chance
* Jeb Bush
3.65% chance
* John Kasich
0.85% chance
* Marco Rubio
12.63% chance
* Martin O'Malley
0.04% chance
* Mike Huckabee
0.01% chance
* Rand Paul
0.03% chance
* Rick Santorum
0.00% chance
* Ted Cruz
20.02% chance
Al Franken
0.00% chance
Al Sharpton
0.00% chance
Amy Klobuchar
0.00% chance
Andrew Cuomo
0.00% chance
Antonio Villaraigosa
0.00% chance
Any 3rd/independent candidate not listed
0.04% chance
Barbara Boxer
0.00% chance
Bob Corker
0.00% chance
Bob McDonnell
0.00% chance
Brian Sandoval
0.00% chance
Brian Schweitzer
0.00% chance
Colin Powell
0.00% chance
Condoleezza Rice
0.00% chance
Cory Booker
0.00% chance
Deval Patrick
0.00% chance
Elizabeth Warren
0.07% chance
Evan Bayh
0.00% chance
Gary Johnson
0.00% chance
Harry Reid
0.00% chance
Herman Cain
0.00% chance
Jan Brewer
0.00% chance
Janet Napolitano
0.00% chance
Jesse Ventura
0.00% chance
Jim DeMint
0.00% chance
Joe Biden
0.01% chance
Joe Lieberman
0.00% chance
John Barrasso
0.00% chance
John Boehner
0.00% chance
John Hickenlooper
0.00% chance
John Kerry
0.00% chance
John Thune
0.00% chance
Jon Huntsman
0.00% chance
Julián Castro
0.00% chance
Justin Amash
0.00% chance
Kathleen Sebelius
0.00% chance
Kelly Ayotte
0.00% chance
Kirsten Gillibrand
0.00% chance
Maria Cantwell
0.00% chance
Mark Dayton
0.00% chance
Mark Warner
0.00% chance
Mary Fallin
0.00% chance
Michele Bachmann
0.00% chance
Mike Bloomberg
0.00% chance
Mike Crapo
0.00% chance
Mike Pence
0.00% chance
Mitt Romney
0.24% chance
Nancy Pelosi
0.00% chance
Newt Gingrich
0.00% chance
Nikki Haley
0.00% chance
Paul Ryan
0.00% chance
Rahm Emanuel
0.00% chance
Rick Perry
0.00% chance
Rob Portman
0.00% chance
Ron Paul
0.00% chance
Roseanne Barr
0.00% chance
Sam Brownback
0.00% chance
Sarah Palin
0.00% chance
Scott Walker
0.09% chance
Susana Martinez
0.00% chance
Tim Kaine
0.00% chance
Tim Pawlenty
0.00% chance
Tom Coburn
0.00% chance
Tom Harkin
0.00% chance
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Four or more
20.26% chance
One
24.75% chance
Three
30.24% chance
Two
24.75% chance
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B. Sanders.
0.00% chance
H. Clinton.
0.00% chance
Other Candidate.
100.00% chance
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How many Democratic 2016 Presidential candidates will participate in their FIRST scheduled primary debate? (13 October - Nevada).
Most Likely Answer
4 (Four) or more.
100.00% chance

0 or 1 (Zero or One).
0.00% chance
2 (Two).
0.00% chance
3 (Three).
0.00% chance
4 (Four) or more.
100.00% chance
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What will the margin of victory of the first place be over the second place candidate in the Louisiana US Senate race run-off being held Saturday 6 December 2014?
Most Likely Answer
6.6% or greater.
100.00% chance

0.0 - 1.5%
0.00% chance
1.6 - 2.5%
0.00% chance
2.6 - 5.0%
0.00% chance
5.1 - 6.5%
0.00% chance
6.6% or greater.
100.00% chance
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Which 2014 Oklahoma Democratic Senatorial Candidate will win their runoff election on 26 August 2014?
Most Likely Answer
Connie Johnson.
100.00% chance
